Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 87.037651 98.597845 111.687283 127.723736 147.002911 169.642106 198.549377
2025-04-20 72.528361 87.830028 106.834870 132.645812 167.549911 214.293568 283.790891
2025-04-27 65.911251 83.596678 107.050532 141.431570 192.385269 268.430029 397.776545
2025-05-04 58.328450 76.374984 101.431386 140.245863 201.863261 301.987039 492.494993
2025-05-11 53.275459 71.675956 98.253731 141.482152 214.540162 343.206200 617.013452
2025-05-18 48.458715 66.600682 93.641116 139.397913 220.872121 374.683822 736.999781
2025-05-25 45.220340 63.423064 91.384353 140.567071 232.842126 420.030582 912.482094
2025-06-01 42.181706 60.187865 88.569860 140.203817 241.695165 461.645183 1105.538536
2025-06-08 39.276534 56.858001 85.181760 138.222593 246.819250 496.613290 1305.672307
2025-06-15 37.951016 55.907345 85.614179 143.272941 267.568261 576.562786 1727.051006
2025-06-22 35.016528 52.064794 80.672468 137.283876 262.836632 588.995588 1908.679774
2025-06-29 33.127874 49.815250 78.307463 136.055767 268.770650 633.544816 2283.600584
2025-07-06 31.232156 47.556477 75.974272 135.151056 276.833036 693.130830 2858.804907
2025-07-13 30.299267 46.895980 76.533145 140.516268 302.500493 825.555980 4197.284984
2025-07-20 29.915667 47.147472 78.806363 150.016594 342.454159 1040.058466 7081.337304
2025-07-27 28.359894 45.154066 76.511598 148.733609 351.576560 1141.252623 9526.431493
2025-08-03 27.224586 43.834786 75.406943 150.071344 369.177748 1296.955775 14164.173327
2025-08-10 25.843267 41.953788 72.981191 147.816263 374.847030 1401.658047 19398.508686
2025-08-17 24.905705 40.838163 72.020050 149.081143 392.847909 1594.084143 31347.691022
2025-08-24 23.898716 39.517641 70.503715 148.688119 405.154370 1770.511859 50394.783194
2025-08-31 22.826453 38.000736 68.436786 146.545007 410.579196 1912.232114 78708.503297
2025-09-07 22.431425 37.775719 69.136150 152.009640 447.397158 2344.403942 229402.164471
2025-09-14 21.167196 35.755566 65.720243 145.529874 434.130744 2352.164386 313307.190587